Editor's note: This story originally appeared in a May 21 article by Inside Climate News.

NextEra Energy of Florida, the largest U.S. utility by market value, reached an agreement to combine with Dominion Energy of Virginia, the sixth-largest utility by market value and owner of the 2,640-megawatt Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project.

There are many reasons to be wary when large utilities merge, as several experts told me and my colleagues Charles Paullin and Amy Green for our story on the deal. For one, the resulting company is so large and powerful that it becomes difficult to regulate, making it harder to manage consumer rates and address environmental concerns.

But having NextEra, already a huge player in onshore renewables, get into offshore wind is probably good for U.S. offshore wind at a time when the Trump administration is opposing the industry at almost every turn.

The company would have a larger market value than any U.S. energy company other than the two oil giants, ExxonMobil and Chevron, based on current values.

And yet, NextEra joining the offshore wind club probably won’t do much to resuscitate the industry following the damage done by President Donald Trump, according to analysts I spoke with this week.

The Trump administration has gone to great lengths to slow development of offshore wind, including stop-work orders that were later overturned in court, lengthy permit delays and paying leaseholders to abandon projects.

NextEra would be a surprising ally for the offshore wind industry. In a 2018 conference call, then-CEO James Robo said these projects were too expensive and took too long to complete.

“It’s terrible energy policy,” he said, a quote that was used many times by groups that oppose offshore wind development.

On Monday, Robo’s successor, John W. Ketchum, was asked by an analyst how the company got comfortable with offshore wind.

“I think the Dominion team has just made excellent progress on [Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind],” Ketchum said about the project, which is under construction.

Ketchum noted that Dominion had reduced the costs from $11.5 billion to $11.4 billion and that the project is on track to begin commercial operation by the middle of 2027 with 176 turbines. So far, it has 14 turbines delivering test energy.

“We feel very good about it,” he said. “We feel like that project is online. And given the investment that’s been made there, it’s the right thing to do to finish it.”

This intent to finish is important, given that the Trump administration is eager to talk to offshore wind developers who want to abandon projects.

Let’s take a step back to assess where U.S. offshore wind now stands.

The country has four operational projects with a total generating capacity of 978 megawatts. The first was Block Island Wind Farm off Rhode Island, which began operation in 2016; followed by Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind pilot in 2021, which was Dominion’s small precursor to the one now under construction; South Fork Wind in 2024, which is east of Montauk Point, New York; and Vineyard Wind 1 in 2026, which is beginning commercial operation this spring south of Martha’s Vineyard, Massachusetts.

Four projects are under construction with a total planned generating capacity of 5,089 megawatts. Revolution Wind, located south of Martha’s Vineyard, is likely the closest to completion, with the developer Orsted reporting that the project began delivering electricity from some turbines in March and is on track to have all turbines operational this year. Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind is likely to be complete next year; Empire Wind 1, south of Long Island and east of New Jersey, is likely to deliver its first electricity late this year and be completed next year; and Sunrise Wind, located just south of South Fork Wind and west of Vineyard Wind 1, is on track to be completed next year.

Next are dozens of projects with other statuses, including some canceled by developers, some leases awarded but in a pre-construction phase and prospective projects in lease areas the government identified before Trump returned to office last year. The full list of lease areas can be seen on the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management website.

Every lease could be developed under a future administration. But for now, progress is almost completely stalled, to the point that it wouldn’t do much good to assess which projects are most viable.

I’ll note one of these projects because it’s relevant to the NextEra-Dominion merger: Dominion in 2024 acquired the lease to develop an 800-megawatt wind farm in waters off the Carolinas. Dominion bought the lease from Avangrid, which had called it Kitty Hawk North Wind. Dominion is calling it CVOW-South.

I asked Harrison Sholler, a wind analyst for BloombergNEF, what he thinks the merger may mean for offshore wind.

In the short run, he sees little effect because the industry is at a standstill.

“Our current outlook for the offshore wind sector in the U.S. is very bleak,” he said.

Sholler thinks the projects now being built will be the last ones in the country until the federal government makes policy changes and gives assurances to developers about long-term support. Considering how long it takes to plan and build a project, we are heading for a pause that likely will last into the 2030s.

“Developers are not going to be willing to invest significant money if they perceive a market as politically risky,” Sholler said.

Right now, other parts of the world look much more stable in their support for offshore wind, including China and much of Europe. Those are the places that will be offshore wind powerhouses and enjoy the economic and environmental benefits.

So, NextEra may soon have an interest in offshore wind, but it won’t mean much as long as the United States is a backwater.